Posted on: December 17, 2009 2:41 pm

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

OK, don't know what happened to the last try, but here it is again (I hope)

OK! Internet sites don't seem to like anyone pasting from Excel, so I'll do this manually...Hope it works this way!

I've looked at KenPom.com....his site has lots of useful numbers...go check it out!

So all of the rating #'s are from his site.

I'm comparing Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU...so if it gets somewhat garbled, remember, every first stat or team relates to Syracuse, while every 2nd byte relates to Texas, and so on:

                                 Syracuse                 Texas              UK                  KU

KenPom Rating                    5                        1                44                   2

KenPom SOS                    256                     242              269                 301

Record                            10-0                    9-0               10-0                9-0

# of opponents
rated over 100                    6                         6                 8                    8

Best four opp's
                                   Cal #9                   Pitt #59       Conn #32       Memp #7
                                   UofF 28                 LBSt 82        UNC 44           Hofst 108
                                   UNC 44                  WCar 86      Stanf 119        LaSal 120
                                   Corn 65                 USC 124      IU  168           UCLA 145

Next worst
Opp to-date:                Columb 194           Rice 165       Mia, OH 174    Oakl  148

to their 18th
gm - Opp's
rated > 100                      3                          4                    5                    1

Best 4 Opp's
to 18th game:
                                   WVU #4                  KSt #17         UofF #28        Cal #9
                                   Memp 7                 MichSt 21        Lville 66         Tenn 11
                                   SHall 49                 TA&M 34         LBSt 82          Temp 31
                                   Pitt 59                   UNC 44           Aub 114         TTech 50

Some stats:

Adj. Offensive
Efficiency:                         #11                    #17               #44                #2

Def Effic:                           #8                       #1               #70                #7

Effective FG%:
Team                         62.2 [#1]               56.5 [#12]         54.8 [#25]     58.3 [#6]
Opp                           42.1 [#14]             34.8 [#1]           45.1 [#74]     38.2 [#2]

3 pt FG%                    41.1                       33.1                   38.0             44.2

Turnover %
Team:                        21.0 [#169]            17.5 [#37]          23.5 [#279]  16.6 [#18]
Opp:                          27.0 [#7]                20.8 [176]          20.7 [185]    23.6 [68]

Assists per
made FG:                  68.8 [#6]                53.9 [167]           54.0 [165]    61.2 [40]

Experience:              1.53 yrs [#222]         1.49 [241]           0.96 [332]    1.26 [299]

Avg Height:              78.4" [#10]               76.5" [185]         78.7" [7]        77.3" [58]

So, if this looks remotely legible....

How would you rate these four teams (#1-4)?

Do any stats seem to make you think any of these teams is over-rated or under-rated?

My comments:

KU's schedule so far has been really, really weak (rated #301 out of 347)
But their upcoming 9 game schedule only has 1 team rated (By KenPom) lower than 100. They're going to
get challenged!

KU's weak schedule, no doubt helps their stats look better, but compare KU's and UK's stats...their SOS's aren't
that much different, but KU ranks consistently, MUCH higher than UK!

Syracuse has played some good teams, but their overall SOS of 256 indicates they've played some really bad ones too.
Their top 4 opponents are great, but the next toughest is rated only #194!

UK's toughest opponent in their first 18 gamses will be Florida, rated #28 by KenPom....

All four teams are still undefeated, and I think that says that they are all good teams, because each team has faced at least
one team rated in KenPom's top 60 (Texas has had the weakest top-end opponent so far, but that changes on Saturday)

Well, hopefully this looks fairly decent...
As always, let me know what you think!!!!

This is a Big 12 Blog...And It's our turn to rule!

OK, looks good in preview...Here's hopin it posts well!
Posted on: December 17, 2009 12:53 pm
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Posted on: November 30, 2009 6:35 pm

Which Way Is Your Elevator Headed??? These are UP

We're now over 3 weeks into the season...There is still a lot we don't know about teams, but some trends are noticable.

In this Blog I'm going to discuss whether teams look like they will trend up or down, or whether their elevator is stuck between floors! I'll point out the best wins for each team and upcoming non-conference games that should be competitive, and hopefully worth watching...

Before I start, I'd like to give credit where credit is due! The statistics that I use are coming from 2 sources: First and foremost is from the:

KenPom.com site -- he has an amazing amount of information at his site... The team rankings I use are from his site...so when I say Colorado (#110)...I'm saying that KenPom has them rated as his #110 rated team out of all D1 teams!

Some team stats that I use are from ESPN.com stat pages... I like to use both ESPN and CBS sites for general stats, but ESPN provides better team numbers...for individual stats, CBS has great info!

OK, the credits have rolled, no let's get to the show!!!

I'm going to address the Big 12 teams by putting them into 3 groups -- Elevators UP!, Elevators DOWN!, and Elevators OUT OF SERVICE!

I think that most people want to know whats HOT more than whats NOT!

So, we start with:


Texas (#1)  (5-0) KenPom rates their SOS #69, second in the Big 12, behind only Texas A&M! Only 1 of UT's 5 opponents have been rated worse than 200.

BEST WIN(s): #35 Pitt - on a N (neutral court)

Their 3P% is a very moderate 34.5%, and their FT% is a rotten 63.7% (#271) in the country.
They have resembled a train, a little slow to get up to speed, but dang near unstoppable when they do!
Teams like Pitt and Rice were able to hang with them for about 30 minutes but were then steam-rolled!

Their next four opponents shouldn't require too much effort, all 4 are home games, with the highest rated opponent being #77 Long Beach State!

Then they will play one of the top weekly schedules:


12/19: UNC (#67) in Dallas
12/22: Mich St. (#42) in Austin

Then they'll snooze thru cupcakes until Big 12 Conference play begins!

DANGER, Danger...Will Robinson!??? -- The Horns have 2 danger signals...first they lost their starting PG Ward for the season in a freak warm-up accident...and second - They aren't shooting FT's very well (This is like a plague, or at the very least, a common refrain, for most Big 12 teams!)

GOOD NEWS!!!? -- The Horns can look forward to some good news; PG Jai Lucas, a transfer from Florida, is eligible after the end of the first semester! Unfortunately, that means they'll have to take on UNC & Michigan State without either of their two best PG's!

Next Elevator please!

Texas A&M #7  (5-1) ...SOS is rated as #3 in the country, tops in the Big 12!!!!...what a difference a good week can make!

#10 Clemson, and #8 Minnesota in the 76 Classic  - both N

Their only loss was to #2 WVU, by 7 on a N (neutral court)

Three of their 6 opponents are currently rated in KenPom's top 10 -- and they won 2 of those three games!!!
Since they were working last week, they'll Feast this week instead....their next 3 opponents are all rated worse than 100...

12/12 @ New Mexico #16  and 12/22 @ Washington #11

That will make 5 non-conference opponents ranked in the top 20! And if they win the rest of their OOC games, they will have earned a top 10 ranking in the national polls, though the remaining OOC schedule (Other than the 2 GWW's) is decidely light!

Danger!??? -- Like Texas, they don't shoot FT's very well, only 61% so far, ranking them an abysmal #313!

GOOD NEWS!!!? -- The Aggies have made themselves known by their great showing in the 76 Classic...now they need to sustain it! I had them ranked as the #5 team in the Big 12 in the pre-season, behind KU, UT, KSt., and OU...right now they look like no worse than the 3rd best team in the Big 12!


These teams have shown some potential, and are ahead of where most thought they would be at the beginning of the season...The question is: "Is it all smoke and mirrors, and great tasting cupcakes, or would Clara Pellar be able to find some beef here?"

Missouri #14 (4-1) SOS #231...Were looking impressive until losing to Richmond (#34) by 7 on a N

BEST WIN: #27 ODU on a N

GWW's: 12/2 @ Vandy (#48), 12/5 Oregon (#46), and 12/23 Illinois (#91) - N

Their opponents turn the ball over on 30.3% of their possessions - Thats the 4th highest rate in the country! They are also #1 in the country in steal % - They steal the ball on 19.7% of the opponents' possessions! IMPRESSIVE! That pressure D seems to be working!

They get assists on over 60% of their made FG's! The national average is only 53.7%, and Kentucky's is only 53.3%!
36.5% of their FGA are 3P's, the national average is 32.6%. That's a lot of 3P's! The good news is they hit 38.4 % of their 3's (#76)

No FT woes here...They make over 73% of theirs!

They are in this category because?.....That loss to Richmond (a good, probably a tournament team - but probably not a great team) calls into question what their ceiling is! The answer should be clearer after they've played those 3 GWW's!

KState #39 (5-1) ...SOS #198... I picked these guys to finish 3rd in the Big 12 in the pre-season. The only team I currently see that might move them down is Texas A&M. They've played two good teams, beating one (Dayton #115) and losing to the other (Ole Miss #33).

They still look like a tourney team to me, but...

They only shoot 61.2% from the FT line (#309)
Good news...They shoot 52.2% from the field!

Best win: Dayton #115 - N
Good loss: Ole Miss #33

GWW: 12/8 Xavier (H), and 12/12 @UNLV

The rest of the OOC schedule is cupcakes and icing, and lots of it!

Their here because?....They have shown some promise but I'm not sure how good they can be...

ELEVATOR HAS BEEN UP - BUT IT MAY BE A MIRAGE - Or maybe its really just a work in progress??!

Oklahoma State #21  (6-0) ...SOS #269...Yes they are 6-0, but...

Best Win: Utah #126 - N
GWW: 12/2 @Tulsa #40; 12/5 Texas - San Antonio #38 (H)

They have only assisted on 43.1% of their FG's (#314) - That's a lot of one-on-one action...sounds like the dribble and shoot offense doesn't it??? The good part of their shooting efforts is that only 24.1% of their FGA's are 3P's...that's very few 3's!

We'll have a better idea if they are real and will be in or if they'll be out after those 2 GWW's!

TTech #59???????? (7-0) ... SOS #255 (Better than KU's!)

Best Win: Texas A&M CC (#101)

GWW: 12/3 Washington #11 - H; 12/19 @ Wichita State #76; and 12/29 @ New Mexico #16; and 1/23 UTEP #28 - H

If they win any of those 4 GWW, they are better than I think they are! If they can win just one, domesticate those dogs!!!

This team can shoot FT's...77.3% (#19)
Their offense seems to be more disciplined and more balanced than last year! Last year they shot 3's on 32.3% of their FGAs, which they hit at a rate of 36.9%...This year they are only shooting 3's on 22% of their FGAs...that's a good thing they are shooting less of them, because they are hitting a lower %...34.1%

Iowa State #45  (6-1) ... SOS #324 (only barely better than KU's #330!)

They were looking VERY good...until they lost to #97 NW by 2 - N

Guess what, just like so many other Big 12 teams, these guys can't shoot FT's!!! They make only 63.6% (#273)

BUT...Go figure, they CAN shoot 3P's...They are #2 in the country at 49.6%!

Best Win: #104 St Louis

GWW: 12/5 @ California #17; and 1/6 Duke #3 (N) ....Win either of those two and they will UP and OUT of this category!
I think they will have a chance against Cal!!! Duke will be a really tough match-up for them, but a very good test!

SUMMARY (Bet you thought we'd never get here!)

So, that is a total of 7 teams that have been riding the elevators up so far! I'm hoping that they keep riding them up, but the last group of three have their work cut out for them to prove they are for real!

Do you think I've missed anybody?

There are only 5 other Big 12 teams: KU, OU, Nebraska, Baylor, and Colorado...

All of those guys will be seen in my next blog!

The categories will be: Elevators DOWN and Elevators OUT OF SERVICE!

As always, I enjoy dialogue!

Let me know what you think!

If you have a Big 12 question, post it here and I'll try to answer it! Hey, I'm no professional, but I do know my Big 12 teams, or if I don't know, I look for the info!

This Blog's motto is:

It's the Big 12's turn to Rule!

Posted on: November 23, 2009 6:15 pm

No Cupcakes Here!

I thought I'd post a brief blog noting some of the best challenges for Big 12 teams this week...

Of course, many are still feasting on cupcakes, but these teams at least have some potential to bite the hand that feeds them...

Best of the Best game (featuring at least one Big 12 team) of the week is:

Wednesday 11/26, Texas A&M will meet Clemson in the 76 Classic, which has perhaps the best field of any pre-conference tournaments!

This just in:

Colorado fell just short of Gonzaga in the first round of the Maui Invitational. I was going to say (before watching the second half of that game) that this was the game where the Big 12 team was most likely to take it on the chin! And they did, BUT, they played better than I thought they would. I was cheering the Buffaloes, hoping they would get an impressive win...good try!

OU is challenging themselves, at least a little, this week. They play San Diego and Houston, in pool play, at the Great Alaska Shootout...

Iowa State plays a St. Louis team (on 11/27) that handled Nebraska with surprising ease...Let's see if Iowa State can fare a little better, and restore the proper balance!

Texas opens regional play in the CBE, with Iowa and Rice setting themselves up to be gored...

The rest of the Big 12 teams are eating cupcakes again this week

Hope all you fans don't get to fat off of your teams OD'ing on all that sugar in those cupcakes...

Enjoy your holiday everyone!


I didn't know if anyone was reading my blog or not, so I hadn't posted in a couple of weeks...
I'd enjoy it if people would at least send a reply if you think it is worthwhile...Thanks!

If there is something about the Big 12, you'd like to talk about...post a message and we can discuss!!

Until the next time...May the Big 12 RULE!
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: October 21, 2009 12:56 pm

I agree with Katz, revise the Big 12 bball schedu

Andy Katz, a senior ESPN sports analyst in a blog comment this past weekend stated that the KU-UT men's basketball rivalry is the NEXT big sports rivalry. He said that it is approaching the UNC-Duke rivalry, in terms of the heat of the rivalry and the quality of the basketball being played.

I'm willing to make an effort to get this ball rolling. I agree with Katz, that the KU-UT rivalry deserves two regular season conference games, instead of the current schedule that only provides one game each year.

What do other basketball fans think???

I even created a Big 12 basketball schedule (in MS Excel) that would accomplish the goal of creating a better Big 12 men's schedule, IMO. I've made an initial attempt to contact the Big 12 offices with my idea, but their website doesn't support fans contacting their website, as they have no e-mail addresses that I could find on the site.

I think that the more high profile games that are played in the Big 12, the better it will be for the conference, and the more it will help the top team's be better prepared for long NCAA tournament runs!

I think that KU and OU also should play home and away during conference. That is a traditional Big 8 rivalry that was emasculated when the Big 8 and and four schools from the SWC combined to create the Big 12.

Further, I argue that the 'Division' format that divides the Big 12 into North and South 'divisions' doesn't serve Big 12 basketball in promoting what is best for the Big 12. It does continue 'some' of the old 'regional' rivalries that existed in the predecessor conferences, but doesn't fully promote big-time new, strong rivalries, such as KU-UT, and as I noted, the current basketball schedule has diminished some of the old Big 8 rivalries like KU-OU. The teams from the old SWC didn't have their rivalries diminished, they have been continued because all four of those schools are in the Big 12 South Division.

I know that changing the Big 12 basketball schedule may be difficult, but it is something that I believe is worth making an effort at, to help the Big 12 teams compete at the highest level.

As Katz remarked, he thinks that a single game between UNC-Duke would not be in the best interests of college basketball and he feels the same way about the KU-UT rivalry: One game is not enough!

I have only paraphrased Katz's comments. Surprisingly enough, his article was NOT an 'Insider' article. So feel free to go check out his actual statements over at ESPN. I think I have correctly relayed the essence of what he said, but hey, go check it out for yourself!

Let's make Big 12 Basketball the best that it can be!

Let's get some dialogue on the subject rolling through the internet!
Category: NCAAB
Tags: Big 12, Kansas, OU, Texas
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com